Due to unforeseen circumstances, this article is coming to you a day later than usual. While I may not have all the bets, I still have the best bets.
I have also decided to change the format of my article. While I usually do every game, I do not feel like that is the best move. I find myself picking games that I have no real strong opinion on. Narrowing my best bets down to three will make it clear what my best picks are and also make this an easier read. Hope you guys appreciate it.
After another tough week with a record of 5-9, my overall record is 35-46. In my defense, there were numerous close calls and bad beats last week. Here’s a few.
- Nick Chubb ran out of bounds at the 1 yard line which would have led the Browns to covering the spread (-3.5). They won by 3.
- I missed out on the Eagles-Giants over by 1 point. The score finished at a total of 44 and the O/U was 44.5.
- While the Hail Murray was an amazing play, the Cards kneeling rather than kicking the extra point caused them to not cover the -2.5. They won by 2.
However, this is how betting goes. There are numerous close calls every week and you just have to hope that you are on the right side of them. As always, my odds come from Draftkings Sportsbook. Good luck!
Bet of the Week:
Cowboys @ Vikings (-7) O/U 47.5
Here we have two teams at opposite ends of the spectrum here. The Vikings have won their last 3 games as they creep their way back into the playoff hunt. Dalvin Cook is firmly asserting himself into the MVP conversation with his play recently. The defense has improved exponentially after a rough start to the year.
Ah yes, the Cowboys. They are turning back to Andy Dalton this week. Does it matter? They are a team that is out of the race in the worst division in football. While they will be rested after a bye week, this team is just flat out cooked. Minnesota needs every win they can get and the Cowboys have nothing to play for. The key stat for this game is that the Cowboys give up the second most rushing yards per game in the league, according to ESPN. Dalvin Cook will run all over this team and the Vikings will win by double digits.
Bet: Vikings (-7)
Eagles @ Browns (-3) O/U 47.5
Do you want to hear the point totals of the last 2 games the Browns have played at home? 22 and 17. If you put those numbers together, they wouldn’t equal the over for this game. The Eagles continue to struggle on offense, as Carson Wentz still has the worst passer rating in the league. The Browns finally got Nick Chubb back last week as they were able to play their style of football. Both Chubb and Kareem Hunt rushed for over 100 yards. As I have said in previous articles, taking the ball out of Baker Mayfield’s hands is key to success for this team. An issue for Cleveland in this game is the fact that Myles Garrett tested positive for COVID-19 on Friday, as he has been the best pass rusher in the league at this point in the season. However, I just see the Browns trying and succeeding at playing ugly the way they have their last two games at home. The Eagles do not have enough firepower or competent QB play to put enough points on the board. Take the under.
Bet: Under 47.5
Dolphins (-3.5) @ Broncos O/U 45
TRAP GAME ALERT!!! While the Dolphins are rolling right now with with 5 wins in a row, Denver is always a tricky spot and a tough place to play. I understand that everything is pointing against the Broncos. They have been handled in their last two games against the Falcons and Raiders, giving up 30+ in each. However, that is what makes a trap game a trap game. There just seems to be something about Mile High, no matter who the Broncos have on their team. Denver is an extremely tough place to play and I do not think the Dolphins are a team that will finish the season 12-4 or 13-3. I firmly expect Denver to keep this close and potentially even win this game. Take the Broncos.
Bet: Broncos (+3.5)