We finally made it all the way through as it is officially draft day.
The process is always fun but can get frustrating as there are 10’s of 100’s of rumors to sort through on a daily basis and at times you feel lost. That notion has been more true in this draft season than ever before given COVID policies.
With all of that being said, I’m going to be honest I have no idea what happens after like pick four, but here is my best guess as to what the first round is going to look like tonight.
*=Draft Night Trade
1 – Jaguars: Trevor Lawrence | QB, Clemson
Don’t believe the smoke, Lawrence will be a Jaguar as soon as the clock strikes 8 p.m. tonight. Not much else to discuss.
2 – Jets: Zach Wilson | QB, BYU
Much like the Lawrence pick, Wilson was locked in as the Jets’ guy ever since his pro day (allegedly). I would be shocked if they opted to go in another direction.
3 – 49ers (via MIA): Mac Jones | QB, Alabama
The writing has been on the wall for quite some time now, and this pick will still surprise people when it happens. Allegedly Shanahan wants Jones and the scouting department wants Trey Lance. GM John Lynch said in his press conference earlier this week that he would be stupid not to listen to what Shanahan wants and at the end of the day, and that is Mac Jones.
4 – Falcons: Kyle Pitts | TE, Florida
No, I don’t see this pick being a quarterback. I think the coaching staff and the front office believe in Matt Ryan, at least for the near future. Pitts makes the most sense for new head coach Arthur Smith to give his offense an extra dimension that not every team has.
5 – Bengals: Ja’Marr Chase | WR, LSU
I think Sewell should go here, but everything I’m hearing is Chase is the pick. The LSU receiver reunites with Joe Burrow in hopes of building up that offense for the future.
6 – Dolphins (via PHI): Penei Sewell | OT, Oregon
After the Ereck Flowers trade and report that Robert Hunt would be moving from tackle to guard, the dots connect me to the Dolphins taking Sewell here and grabbing another weapon for Tua on day two.
7 – *Eagles (via DET): Jaylen Waddle | WR, Alabama
While the Eagles’ brass hasn’t committed to Jalen Hurts as their starter for next year, there will be no quarterback that will succeed with the weapons they have. They reportedly are “in love” with Jaylen Waddle and adding a receiver with his skillset gives Hurts the best chance to succeed and the Eagles the best chance to win.
8 – *Patriots (via CAR): Justin Fields | QB, Ohio State
As a Patriots fan, I still find it hard to believe myself putting this pick in. However, they reportedly have the framework of a deal in place with the Panthers if “their guy” were to fall. I find it hard to believe that guy is not named Justin Fields.
9 – Broncos: Micah Parsons | LB, Penn State
I don’t think that they’re out of the QB race, but after trading for Teddy Bridgewater I don’t see them taking one unless the right one falls. My guess is that they would be eyeing someone like Mac Jones or Justin Fields and with those two off the board, they opt to take Parsons to fill out their linebacking corps.
10 – Cowboys: Jaycee Horn | CB, South Carolina
Patrick Surtain is the popular pick, but I think all the arrows point to Horn given the new system that the Cowboys want to run on defense. Horn’s skill set fits a little better for that system, it will be hard for Jerry Jones to pass on that.
11 – Giants: Jaelan Phillips | EDGE, Miami
The Giants have a decent defensive line, but they haven’t had a real game-wrecker at the edge position since Jason Pierre-Paul. If it weren’t for injury history, Phillips would be a top-five pick in this draft. I don’t think Dave Gettleman and company can pass on that at pick 11.
12 – *Lions (via PHI): DeVonta Smith | WR, Alabama
They have a ton of needs all over the place, but I don’t think the Lions will sell many tickets trotting out a WR corps of Quintez Cephus and Breshad Perriman. Adding the former Heisman trophy winner can make Jared Goff’s life easier from day one so that the front office can properly evaluate whether or not he will be in their future plans.
13 – Chargers: Rashawn Slater | OT, Northwestern
After an offseason filled with re-tooling that offensive line to keep Herbert upright, they still have a glaring need at left tackle. The second best tackle in this class can slide in right away and turn that iffy group from last year into a top-tier unit in 2021.
14 – *Football Team (via MIN) – Trey Lance | QB, North Dakota State
I would imagine every team from picks nine and up will be receiving calls from teams about moving up for Lance, but eventually the compensation will prove to be too much until it gets to the Vikings here. Washington has been rumored to “love” Lance and if he is within striking distance for them I don’t see how they pass up with their roster the way it is right now.
15 – *Panthers (via NE): Alijah Vera-Tucker | OT, USC
The Panthers pick up some extra draft picks from the Patriots and still snag a top-tier tackle at 15. Sounds like a win-win scenario to me.
16 – Cardinals: Patrick Surtain | CB, Alabama
The Cardinals end the fall here. I can see a lot of teams ahead of them taking Surtain, but in this mock those teams opt to add tackle depth instead. The Cardinals need secondary help badly, Surtain is the perfect pick.
17 – Raiders: Christian Barmore | DT, Alabama
The Raiders need help along that defensive line more than in the secondary in my opinion. They can grab a solid corner on day two but can’t do the same at DT given how thin the class is.
18 – Dolphins: Kwity Paye | EDGE, Michigan
Paye is as stout a run defender as you will find in this edge class, and that is something that Flores values over everything else. He can be moved all around the line and still be effective, he just screams “future Dolphin” to me.
19 – *Vikings (via WAS): Christian Darrisaw | OT, Virginia Tech
The Vikings likely would’ve taken Darrisaw at 14, and they get lucky and he falls to them at 19 while picking up some future picks. Perfect situation for Minnesota.
20 – Bears: Greg Newsome III | CB, Northwestern
The Bears need to replace Kyle Fuller, and Newsome is the perfect guy to do that. Can be a plug-and-play starter across from Jaylon Johnson and keep that defense stout for 2021 and beyond.
21 – *Browns (via IND): Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah | LB, Notre Dame
The Browns did a good job shoring up their defense for this year, but could still use some help at the LB position. JOK can do a ton of things for that defense and play all three downs, which the analytics-driven Browns front office will covet enough to make the trade up for him.
22 – Titans: Rashod Bateman | WR, Minnesota
After losing Corey Davis this offseason, the Titans draft his replacement in the first round. Having multiple wide receivers that demand attention keeps some pressure off of Derrick Henry’s shoulders.
23 – Jets (via SEA): Jayson Oweh | EDGE, Penn State
New head coach Robert Saleh is notorious for using a deep defensive line rotation, so I expect them to take one at this pick. Oweh is as raw as they come but has the physical profile to turn into an elite defender. I trust Saleh (who worked with Nick Bosa, Arik Armstead and Dee Ford) to show him the ropes and get the most out of him.
24 – Steelers: Najee Harris | RB, Alabama
Pittsburgh hasn’t been the same offense since they lost Le’Veon Bell and they undoubtedly want to take the load off of an aging Ben Roethlisberger’s shoulders. Harris is everything that the Steelers look for in a running back and I don’t see them passing him up just because of his position.
25 – Jaguars (via LAR): Trevon Moehrig | S, TCU
The Jaguars are a bad defense but have young pieces all around. They get arguably the top safety in this class who can play in the box, up high and cover in the slot. That versatility will be key in that new regime making this decision.
26 – *Colts (via CLE): Teven Jenkins | OT, Oklahoma State
I think the Colts would be more comfortable trading completely out of the first round, but my goodness it would be so fun to see Jenkins and Quenton Nelson playing side-by-side next year.
27 – Ravens: Creed Humphrey | IOL, Oklahoma
Everyone wants the Ravens to draft a wide receiver, but their real problem last year was lack of interior line talent. Adding arguably the best center in this class who has experience setting protections for a complex Oklahoma offense gives Lamar Jackson the best chance to get back to MVP form.
28 – Saints: Tyson Campbell | CB, Georgia
The Saints need help opposite Marshon Lattimore for this year and beyond, and Campbell has all the tools to develop into a top-tier corner in the NFL with the right coaching – something Dennis Allen and the Saints can provide.
29 – Packers: Zaven Collins | LB, Tulsa
Everyone wants to see a receiver here, but the fact is – the Packers just don’t do that. They have a good receiving corps in place but lack a physical presence at the LB position, which Collins will bring right away.
30 – Bills: Travis Etienne | RB, Clemson
The Bills reportedly want to add more juice to the RB position and Etienne can answer that call right away. Josh Allen can’t do it all out there, having a stout running game can take some of the load off of his back making Buffalo a more rounded team.
31 – Ravens (via KC): Elijah Moore | WR, Ole Miss
There’s your wide receiver, Ravens fans. I think the shifty, run-after-catch guys fit Baltimore’s offense a lot better than a boundary guy like Terrace Marshall and Elijah Moore is the guy for that job.
32 – Buccaneers: EDGE Gregory Rousseau | EDGE, Miami
Rousseau is definitely a project, but one that could absolutely pay off. For a team that returned every starter from their Super Bowl victory, they can afford to go the high-risk, high-reward route with a player of Rousseau’s potential.